Thursday February 07 02:12 PM EST

IBM vs. HP-Compaq: The Coming War for Tech Profits

By Robyn Weisman, www.NewsFactor.com

In an effort to sidestep the cutthroat PC price war that has raged for at least the last year, many high-tech companies have branched out into what is loosely called the IT services industry

No company has done a better job of making the transition from a hardware-oriented enterprise to one that focuses on services than New York-based IBM (NYSE: IBM - news). All three analysts interviewed by NewsFactor for this article agreed that IBM's Global Services Division is the worldwide market leader.

"They're the top global IT services provider by just about any measure you would use -- in revenue, certainly in the numbers of people they have, and the number of customers," Julie Giera, vice president of IT services at Giga Information Group, told NewsFactor.

Challenge from Merger

But there is an increasing possibility that a merger between Hewlett-Packard (NYSE: HWP - news) and Compaq (NYSE: CPQ - news) would produce a combined entity that could give IBM a run for its money.

What would the new HP-Compaq have to do to upstage the services giant? And what exactly is this relatively new market called "services" that so many companies now see as the Holy Grail of revenue?

No Single Thing

"There is no single thing called 'services,'" Bobby Cameron, principal analyst with Forrester Research's technology leadership team, told NewsFactor. "Think of it [more as] a vertical stack of technologies."

The bottom stack in the services pyramid, according to Cameron, consists of networks that are dominated by the telecom companies. At this most basic level, the Internet, company intranets and telephone networks are simply about the cables or fiber optic lines that wire up a company's physical space.

"Come up a stack and you get data centers -- rooms full of hardware and all the stuff that makes those computer rooms run," Cameron said. "In general, they don't vary a whole lot by industry or by any other kind of segmentation."

The third stack, Cameron noted, comes under the category of "systems integration."

Systems Integration

Companies engaged in offering systems integration services might build and provide software applications, operate the applications, consult on them, or any combination of the three.

This area of the services industry is highly specific to individual industry segments, because business activities that are typically automated are generally peculiar to particular industries.

At the top of the stack are services that operate around the business process itself. This area is generally known as outsourcing. Here, a services firm actually runs a piece of its client's business. Such services are very focused and are unique to individual companies, not to the sectors to which those companies belong.

Companies like FedEx and UPS, for example, which are now seen as independent vendors, were considered to be outsourcing services early on, when many companies still delivered packages using their own internal resources.

Gerstner's Vision

According to Forrester's Cameron, IBM holds its dominant position in the services industry today because the company "does absolutely every one of those services, except networks."

In large part, IBM owes its supremacy to retiring CEO Lou Gerstner's vision for the company.

When Gerstner took control in 1993, IBM was in the process of carving itself into multiple subsidiaries and was spinning off -- or planning to spin off -- many of its divisions, including its individual service departments, Giga analyst Giera explained.

Gerstner turned IBM 180 degrees away from this strategy, consolidating the company's varied services divisions into what is now known as IBM Global Services.

Big Bulls-Eye

"[Gerstner] saw services as a leading way IBM was going to be identified, rather than just an afterthought or add-on to a hardware sale," Giera said. "So, he fashioned IBM Global Services in such a way that the level of exposure they get at the top tiers of the organization is almost unmatched.

"That, of course, is what saved them," Giera added, "because [Global Services] smoothed out all the revenue bumps that would have occurred without it."

Of course, IBM's success in the sector means the company has now become everyone else's target.

As Giera put it, "There's a big ol' bull's-eye painted on IBM."

Tuesday February 5, 7:08 pm Eastern Time

U.S. tech spending seen flat to down in 2002-survey

By Ben Berkowitz

LOS ANGELES, Feb 5 (Reuters) - Nearly half of technology managers at major U.S. companies expect high-tech spending to be flat this year compared to 2001, while almost a quarter see it falling, according to a survey presented on Tuesday by brokerage Goldman Sachs.

That cautious outlook showed that corporate investment plans for computer systems, software, and storage and security are starting to stabilize after being ratcheted sharply lower in 2001 in response to a developing economic slowdown and amid a global technology slump, the brokerage said at an investment conference it is hosting in La Quinta, California.

``Budgets could gradually loosen in the same way that they tightened over the course of 2001 as the economy shows improvement,'' Goldman Sachs said in the report summarizing the results of its survey of information technology (IT) executives at 100 companies with revenues of at least $1 billion.

In the survey, 47 percent of corporate managers said spending on information technology would be flat, while most of the remainder were almost equally divided between forecasting declines and increases. One percent of the respondents said they did not know how IT spending would change this year.

In that cautious climate, brand-name technology vendors could be poised to pick up market share, the brokerage said.

``More often than not, our respondents cite traditional market leaders as gaining share of their spending in the current environment,'' Goldman Sachs said.

Among the companies mentioned in that category were Microsoft Corp. (NasdaqNM:MSFT - news), International Business Machines Corp. (NYSE:IBM - news), Cisco Systems Inc. (NasdaqNM:CSCO - news), Dell Computer Corp. (NasdaqNM:DELL - news) and EMC Corp. (NYSE:EMC - news).

The biggest gainers in computer hardware were seen as Dell and IBM, with 39 percent of surveyed managers and 34 percent, respectively, saying they would get more business.

The biggest share losers were expected to be Compaq Computer Corp. (NYSE:CPQ - news) and Hewlett-Packard Co. (NYSE:HWP - news) at 40 percent and 32 percent, respectively, the survey said.

Almost half of the surveyed managers (49 percent) said their spending on laptop and desktop computers would remain flat in 2002. Some 38 percent of managers said they had lengthened their replacement cycle for personal computers.

With regard to software, 50 percent of managers surveyed said they would buy more from Microsoft, while 41 percent said they would increase spending with enterprise software vendor SAP AG . Novell Inc. (NasdaqNM:NOVL - news), which sells network software, was seen losing sales, with 26 percent of users saying they would buy less from the Provo, Utah-based company.

SPENDING PRIORITIES INFLUENCED BY SEPT. 11

The top five spending priorities for the year were influenced by the hijacking attacks of Sept. 11, Goldman Sachs said, with managers listing security ???data networking, database software, storage software and disaster recovery as key.

The lowest priorities for the year included Linux servers and desktop PC upgrades to Microsoft's Windows 2000 and Windows XP operating systems.

More than two-thirds of surveyed managers said they had no plans to use the open standards-based Linux operating system in 2002. Only 1 percent of managers said Linux would be their main system for running powerful servers over the next two to three years.

Just as last year's survey showed too much confidence in tech spending budgets, this year's result may point to an early excess of caution, the brokerage said.

Only about a quarter of managers thought a year ago that their 2001 budgets would be flat, but over 40 percent of companies surveyed ended up with unchanged budgets.

Now managers are more pessimistic: 89 percent of respondents predicted that growth in their IT spending would be below 10 percent over the next five years.

That was below the 10-13 percent average annual growth in that spending since 1992, the brokerage said.

Tuesday February 5, 8:00 am Eastern Time

Press Release

SOURCE: IBM

IBM Announces Financial, Automotive And Telecom Customers For WebSphere e-Business Infrastructure Software

SOMERS, NY--(INTERNET WIRE)--Feb 5, 2002 -- IBM today announced 14 companies that are turning to its WebSphere* software platform for their e-business operations.

IBM WebSphere is Internet infrastructure software -- or middleware -- used to develop, serve and integrate business applications and enable high-volume transactions over the Web. Nearly 50,000 companies worldwide now rely on WebSphere as their e-business middleware.

The new WebSphere customers include J.P. Morgan Chase, First Data, Merrill Lynch, Morgan Stanley, Fidelity, GAD, State Farm, State Street, Safeway, DaimlerChrysler, Volvo, Verizon Wireless, Orange Communications and Zurich Schweis.

WebSphere has shown 11 consecutive quarters of double-digit revenue growth, climbing 43 percent in the fourth quarter of 2001 and 50 percent for the entire year. The WebSphere software platform is used by 75 percent of the top commercial banks in the United States, 15 of the top Wall Street brokerage firms, seven of the eight largest U.S. telecommunications companies, and 80 percent of the top U.S. healthcare companies.

WebSphere gained significant market share in 2001 and is headed toward the industry's No. 1 position, according to analysts. Unlike competitors, WebSphere is a complete set of integrated middleware products, built on open standards and IBM's legendary strengths in reliably and securely handling enterprise-scale transactions

In addition, IBM offers a complete set of industry-leading and award-winning application development tools. The rapid adoption of WebSphere tools, including the industry's first tools to deploy Web services, highlights how an increasing number of developers are adopting WebSphere as their development software of choice. Today, more than 9,000 independent software vendors (ISVs) write applications on top of WebSphere. There are more than 600,000 active WebSphere developers worldwide, nearly three times the nearest competitor.

About IBM's (NYSE:IBM - news) WebSphere Software

WebSphere is Internet infratructure software -- known as middleware -- that enables companies to build, deploy and integrate next-generation e-business applications using open standards. WebSphere transforms the way businesses manage customer, partner and employee relationships. More information about the WebSphere software platform is available at www.ibm.com/websphere.

Wednesday February 6, 7:04 pm Eastern Time

Sun opts out of IBM, Microsoft Web services alliance

By Siobhan Kennedy

NEW YORK, Feb 6 (Reuters) - Microsoft Corp.(NasdaqNM:MSFT - news), IBM(NYSE:IBM - news) and a host of rival technology competitors on Wednesday said they formed an organization to work on standards to make it easier for companies share information and do business over the Web.

The anticipated news sees Microsoft and IBM coming together with a string of fierce rivals in the technology sector -- including Intel Corp.(NasdaqNM:INTC - news), Oracle Corp.(NasdaqNM:ORCL - news), SAP AG, Hewlett-Packard Co.(NYSE:HWP - news) and Fujitsu Business Systems Ltd. .

The group, called the Web Services Interoperability Organization (WS-I), aims to provide companies with a standard way of using Web services -- the hot new market for software that makes it easier for different computer systems to share information to carry out business tasks such as purchasing or inventory checking over the Web.

The group brings together rival camps split between using Microsoft's .Net Internet technology and Java, a rival technology which was developed by Sun Microsystems Inc.(NasdaqNM:SUNW - news)

Sun Microsystems, a bitter rival of Microsoft, was noticeably absent from the line-up. But a spokesperson said ``Sun has been and will be committed to supporting industry standards as they emerge and evolve,'' adding ``WS-I is a good concept and bears looking into.''

The organization wants to ensure that companies use the low-level technical standards -- UDDI, WSDL, XML and SOAP --

that govern the development of Web services in the same way, Bob Sutor, IBM's Program Director for XML Technology said.

He likened it to the use of the English language. There are lots of valid ways of putting the words together to make sentences, but eventually people develop common phrases that succinctly communicate what they want to say, Sutor said.

``The collection of standards around Web services is much the same way,'' Sutor said. ``Once we discover the ways that people use them, it's good to call those out because this means that other people can start using them in the same way.''

This isn't the first time these companies have come together under the umbrella of Web services. But the news is nevertheless significant because it signals a growing acceptance among technology sector rivals to work together.

Java and .Net offer opposing ways for developers to write their software applications, therefore forcing companies to chose between the two.

Web services are designed to overcome these incompatibility problems by wrapping those software applications in such a way that they can be used on any system, be it Java, .Net or some other type of software system.

Sun Microsystems, however, was noticeably absent from the list of companies supporting the alliance, although companies such as IBM, BEA and Oracle, which support Java, said they acknowledged that linking software applications to do business was a big issue for their customers.

``We recognize that applications built on our platform need to be interoperable with applications built on other platforms,'' Byron Sebastian, BEA's senior director of product management said, referring to the linking of Web services between different systems.

IBM and BEA are bitter rivals in the market for application servers, the basic software platform upon which Web services and other types of software applications are developed.

As well as working on existing standards, Sutor said the Web Services Interoperability Organization would also work with Internet standards bodies, like the World Wide Web Consortium, to ensure future Web services standards, governing such areas as security, work together.